Die stagnierende Ordnung und das Ende der aufstrebenden Mächte

Interesting piece- few quibbles

I would contest rising powers being a modern phenomenon- I think it would be hard to not consider the Mongols or the Umayyads for example to be a rising power.

There are issues with evaluating pre Westphalian societies with such modern and rigid definitions- and the author isn’t very specific on his definitions in the first place

The “geriatric peace” argument is just copium. The US isn’t forgetting its values- it’s returning to its pre- WWII values. The gradual economic hollowing out of the developed west will lead to more internal instability, which will then encourage more belligerent behavior on the international level.

Even Allison acknowledges (big daddy k mentioned this as well) that the eastern perspective has always seen the falling power as the more insecure party- more likely to be belligerent in order to maintain its position