Die Carney-Regierung „befürchtete“, dass ihr Haushalt nicht verabschiedet werden würde, was eine Bundestagswahl auslöste
https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/carney-government-worried-its-budget-wont-pass-triggering-a-federal-election/article_28cf4a47-ecf8-4b6a-ad9e-91a3cc45df05.html
14 Kommentare
I think if we see a no-confidence vote trigger an election over the budget, it’s bad news for the entire country regardless of who wins (no party appears poised for a majority). Political instablility would be the worst possible thing for Canada right now.
I just don’t see any way the NDP would let this happen. Sure, if Carney publicly humiliates them just for kicks then maybe they „make a stand“ just to not look so weak. They have no leader, no money, and no political winds at their sails. This is at best a little gumflapping so they don’t appear so weak and maybe they can get thrown a bone.
NDP will say they don’t support it but abstain. They’ll say that they’re not going to an election without a permanent leader because Canadians deserve a choice yadayadayada
I guess it depends on exactly what is in the budget. The article mentions spending reduction, but I’m more interested to see what changes this government plans to make to taxation.
The Liberals are just floating this stuff as trial balloons in the media to pre-emptively frame things as „why aren’t the other parties supporting the Liberal budget“ instead of the real question: „what are the Liberals going to do to keep the confidence of the house?“
The NDP will vote against the budget. They’re desperate to shake the things that sunk them in the election, and they’re not going to waltz into more support for Liberals after the Liberals lurches to the right. Everyone in here assuming they’ll cave on this without significant, undeniable concessions does not recognize the mood in the party.
The Liberals will probably just throw some tokens to the Bloc last minute.
Carney remains very popular. If the opposition fully shows up to vote against the budget and triggers an election, I suspect the LPC could be returned with a majority.
I think it would be a nothing ever happens election like the 2021 snap election
I don’t think the polls even suggest the ndp is back to gaining official party status
I’m pretty sure the budget will pass. If it doesn’t, it would be a wild timeline if the GG asked PP to form the government
Really, it makes sense.
Carney represents the LPC attempting to fill the niche of the PCs. His budget is expected to represent that, balancing the big capital expenditures we need to reboot the Canadian economy with austerity to prove it isn’t just reckless spending.
But this is anathema to the other parties. The Canadian media have been telling the NDP that compromising with even Trudeau was too far right to make their party work. The Bloc are happy to pick up Jagmeet’s torch on trading social spending for support, in his absence, but that pulls the Liberals back and shows that they’ll always be the party negotiating concessions to the left on spending. And the Conservatives know they’re over as a party if the Liberals can move into the PC niche, so they need this budget to fail even if it’s line for line what they would have written.
Carney may unfortunately end up having to run on his budget in a new election, to try to make the Conservatives look petty for refusing to support it, and to buy himself an excuse to have to compromise on social spending afterwards.
The system is too sensitive
So one budget won’t pass. Waste money and energy on another election?
And then if the one after that doesn’t pass. Trigger another?
The Liberals are putting themselves in a tough spot. They have 3 parties they can negotiate with and have done little to do that. There’s no one to blame but the Liberals if they can’t pass this budget. They had months to figure it out.
If Carney is worried then why hasn’t he done anything about it? He started his leadership campaign off by deriding Trudeau negotiating with the NDP. He’s shown no interest in appeasing the Bloc or NDP throughout his tenure. He’s left with the CPC as his best option, which the Tories and Liberals should easily be able to find agreement, but the Tories are more interested in political theatre than actual work.
It’s possible they survive this, and I still think they will, but it’s embarrassing that in a time we should be focussing on unity, we have a leader that has no interest in actually building that.
They should be. Their government has been terrible so far and if the budget is bad it shouldn’t pass. People say nobody has the appetite for an election but I would rather have one in the interest of a momentum shift. Let’s get our asses in gear and fix this country.
Why isn’t this Toronto Star article being given away for free the same way the Pierre hit piece was being pushed to us for free over the weekend?
Isn’t the topic of the budget more important than hit piece editorials?
Well either work with other parties to find compromise or face the consequences. For opposition, if you don’t want a election but can’t support the budget you abstain (which is likely what will happen).
The lack of cooperation and consultation we are hearing from the Carney Liberals is concerning. That’s not how Parliament is supposed to work and it’s certainly not how a minority is supposed to function.