Datenquelle: http://finance.yahoo.com/

    Werkzeuge: Matplotlib

    Die Grafik visualisiert die monatliche prozentuale Änderung der Dow Jones, S & P 500 und NASDAQ gegenüber der Baseline Januar 2025 und zeigt sowohl Rohdollar -Renditen als auch goldbereinigte Renditen (indexiert auf konstantes Gold -USD). Während die nominalen Linien im gesamten 2025 auf ein solides Wachstum hinweisen, enthüllen die goldbereinigte Serie bereits die jüngste Schwächung des US -Dollars gegenüber anderen Währungen und alternativen Wertspeichern, wie z. B. Gold, die echte Leistung zugeschnitten haben. Das Gesamtbild zeigt, dass der Schlagzeilenindexgewinne wesentlich gedämpft werden, sobald sowohl die Inflation der Rohstoffpreise als auch die Abschreibung von Währungen berücksichtigt werden.

    Die im Diagramm dargestellten Werte sind die Schlusswerte des vorherigen Handelstages. zB Jan. 1. Januar ist der Schließwert des 31. Dezember.

    Von CockBrother

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    5 Kommentare

    1. CockBrother on

      Data source: [http://finance.yahoo.com/](http://finance.yahoo.com/)

      Tools: matplotlib

      Data series:
      `# Index monthly closes`
      `dow_close = [42544.22, 44544.66, 43840.91, 42001.76, 40669.36, 42270.07, 44094.77, 44130.98, 45544.88, 46397.89]`
      `sp500_close = [ 5881.63, 6040.53, 5954.50, 5611.85, 5569.06, 5911.69, 6204.95, 6339.39, 6460.26, 6686.46]`
      `nasdaq_close = [19310.79, 19627.44, 18847.28, 17299.29, 17446.34, 19113.77, 20369.73, 21122.45, 21455.55, 22660.01]`

      `# Gold monthly closes (USD/oz)`
      `gold_close = [ 2658.90, 2812.50, 2836.80, 3122.80, 3305.00, 3288.90, 3294.40, 3293.20, 3473.70, 3840.80]`

      For the folks down voting – is it the presentation or the content? It’s not fancy. But it’s interesting as I keep hearing „all time high“ for the market.

    2. i guess this illustrates the concept of opprtunity cost (in 2025, the stock investor has 10% less value than the gold investor) but i think it’d be simpler to just add a 4th line for gold. then you also have space to add other „alternative sources of value“ to strengthen your argument stocks have been underperforming

      as it is, your chart shows that US stocks are doing better than USD but worse than gold. even if your conclusion is warranted i think the data presented alone doesnt support the strength of your conclusions

      I do like the color/line dashing to show the 6 lines (though for color blind users individual labeling of lines or non-color differentiations would help, esp. conisdering R-G colorblindness is fairly common)

    3. TheHappyEater on

      I fail to see how this is a reasonable adjustion considering that these stocks/funds are usually not traded in gold (but bought/sold in USD)

      If you are doing price adjustments, adjusting for inflation is probably much more interesting.

      I agree with the other posters that returns of buying gold or e.g. Euros would be more interesting to see the stipulated results.

    4. This is very interesting, well-visualised, and helpful to understand the relative values of some equities and commodities, but there is a caveat worth mentioning:

      It is absolutely true that the dollar is weakening, but Gold is also increasing in real value, not just nominally relative to the dollar. The dollar is less valuable relative to other currencies, but Gold is increasing in value across all global currencies.

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