#Readingrussien in den heutigen russischen Zeitungen: Russland braucht Ressourcen, „um mindestens 2, sogar 3 Jahre Feindseligkeiten in der Ukraine durchzuführen.“ In der Zwischenzeit ist es nicht mehr möglich, die Anzeichen von Benzinknappheit in den Regionen zu verweigern. “ Außerdem fällt die Wissenschaftszölle, um zu steigen, die Wissenschaftsfinanzierung. Steve Rosenberg BBC News

Rosenberg will be missed the day he stops reporting from Russia.

lol the first line already gets to the point of all the russian supporters that call for „peace“, showing what kind of „peace“ it is – *“If there’ll be no Ukraine, Europe will never fight with us“*

*“(yadda yadda we need China to give us money and weapons) that allow us to conduct hostilities in Ukraine for at least two or even three years“* – Conduct hostilities? My brother in Christ, didn’t you say you were helping/liberating bullied ethnic russians against nazis/satanists/gays etc. before?

*“In some regions there has been a shortage of petrol for several weeks now.“* – good.

*“funding for russian science is falling“* – doublegood. 17 times behind the US, 15 times behind China, 4 times behind Japan

Russia already has burned hundreds of billion dollars, mortgaged its future to China and North Korea and wiped out any pretense of technological catch up in this crazy gambit for Ukraine. To imagine that the country would spend essentially the whole 2020s in high attrition warfare and in war economy mode is next level Orwellian.

Putin has three last hopes:

– the far right takes over Paris, Berlin and Brussels and turns the EU inwards US-style

– the chinse intensify their support and become the actual purveyor of all the russian military hardware, or even decide to send troops and begin WWIII in the Donbass

– an oil shock.

Short of any of these scenarios (and #1 frightens me the most), he is cooked. The EU rearmament will give more and more resources to Ukraine and to European deterrence as a potential giant slowly awakens. In three years time, on the other hand the russian economy will be decrepit.

And then, should the war stop, he will have to manage the homecoming of hundreds of thousands of savaged soldiers who raped, looted and murdered for years in Ukraine, plus the agonizly difficult return to a civilan economy.

Dunno, last years brought sth in me. Whenever I hear of ruZZia struggling I fell happiness and satisfaction. The more the better

This war is going to get very weird if it continues for 2-3 more years. Russia is going to begin to enter severe shortages of vehicles (tanks in particular) in 2026 as their old stocks are depleted. I know they’ve had small operational success by using thermal sheets and motorbikes for assaults, but fundamentally you can’t replace en masse the offensive benefit of tanks with small arms and motorbikes.

I reckon the 2 or 3 more years is for when China/Taiwan will kick off.. we need to shut them down in the next 6 to 12 months.

Good, make the yogi bear suffer big time. They wanted war? Now they get it. Burn the refineries!

Russia, no longer a petrol station no longer masquerading as a state.
(Just an outright shithole with the Mafia in charge)

My european brothers, remember those ads russia had 2 years ago about europeans freezing in their apartments in the winter?

I feel it’s going to be an interesting winter in russia since from what I’ve heard/read, Ukraine is stockpiling to escalate the hits on the entire oil & gas infrastructure of russia as it seems to be way more effective than striking military targets.

It basically has a 3 side effect: they can’t export anymore:

1. They have to stop exports, which kills they cashflow income
2. Citizens can’t fuel up so they too start feeling the pressure of the war
3. The army is heavily dependent on these resources too (remember the stories about germans using horses by the end of ww2 since they lost access to fuel).

It will be an interesting winter.