“Why then? Well, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 shifted the Overton Window dramatically in regard to its borders. Its tenuous control of Crimea and the Donbas highlight Russia’s border weakness, not its strength. Now the topic cannot be ignored – and China surely is not ignoring it.”
So because Russia invaded Ukraine, China will invade Russia? Not sure what this person is smoking, but I want some.
Russia is much more valuable as a junior partner than the annexation of outer Manchuria would be at the moment
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This essay highlights Chinese ambitions to retake Russian territories north of the Amur and east of the Ussuri (Outer Manchuria) ceded to Russia in the mid-19th century. The Chinese have never forgotten these losses and regard the old treaties as “unequal.” This historical grievance is not relegated to fringe elements but central to Chinese nationalism. Russia as an entity is weakening whilst China is growing in relative power and this creates a strategic gap that enables China to assert their claims. There’s also a growing convergence between China and Europe as Moscow and Washington grow closer. Even without a sudden redrawing of borders, changes are already occuring gradually: through economic influence, special economic zones, long-term leases and soft power.
ObviousLife4972 on
China is not going to attack Russia just because western think tankers want it to happen.
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“Why then? Well, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 shifted the Overton Window dramatically in regard to its borders. Its tenuous control of Crimea and the Donbas highlight Russia’s border weakness, not its strength. Now the topic cannot be ignored – and China surely is not ignoring it.”
So because Russia invaded Ukraine, China will invade Russia? Not sure what this person is smoking, but I want some.
Russia is much more valuable as a junior partner than the annexation of outer Manchuria would be at the moment
This essay highlights Chinese ambitions to retake Russian territories north of the Amur and east of the Ussuri (Outer Manchuria) ceded to Russia in the mid-19th century. The Chinese have never forgotten these losses and regard the old treaties as “unequal.” This historical grievance is not relegated to fringe elements but central to Chinese nationalism. Russia as an entity is weakening whilst China is growing in relative power and this creates a strategic gap that enables China to assert their claims. There’s also a growing convergence between China and Europe as Moscow and Washington grow closer. Even without a sudden redrawing of borders, changes are already occuring gradually: through economic influence, special economic zones, long-term leases and soft power.
China is not going to attack Russia just because western think tankers want it to happen.