Popularität der ungarischen politischen Parteien auf der Grundlage der Ergebnisse unabhängiger Umfragen

Only bad thing here it’s a one personality changing to another. Not a spectrum as it designed.

Let me explain:

1. he can became like Orban in next 10 years (Belarus variant)
2. people can be disappointed too quickly and Orban can return back (Poland variant)

Parliament always need some concurrency and backup. 2-3 parties in coalition are better than one.

I must add that there are fidesz aligned, old-opposition aligned and real independent pollsters in Hungary.

This graph shows the old opposition-aligned and truly independent pollsters together. This means you should halve the popularity percentages of each old opposition party and add those figures to Tisza’s which will give you the real current standings.

The only pollsters you should trust are Medián and 21 kutatóközpont.

So the real data shows this:

* Fidesz: 34%-36%
* Tisza: 52%-51%
* DK: 5%-3%
* Mi hazánk: 6%-5%
* MKKP: 2%-3%

The rest are either insignificant or they only exist on paper so they can get free money.

Edit: The current threshold to get into the parliament is 5%.

So far the liberal Momentum party is the only one to have stepped back from running in the election so Tisza will have a higher chance of winning.

Does this change much though? If Orban steps down in case he loses, isn’t this just another conservative right-wing party? Wikipedia says ‚populist‘ so that’s terrible again.

Pro EU at least, that’s something.

Now this better be the reality for both Hungary and Slovakia. I got a feeling Poland won’t hold for much longer.