Israel is likely to launch another war with Iran before December—perhaps even as early as late August. With Iran already rebuilding its military resources, Israel has an incentive to strike sooner rather than later, argues Trita Parsi.
Iran is expecting and preparing for the attack. It played the long game in the first war, pacing its missile attacks as it anticipated a protracted conflict. In the next round, however, Iran is likely to strike decisively from the outset, aiming to dispel any notion that it can be subdued under Israeli military dominance.
As a result, the coming war will likely be far bloodier than the first. If U.S. President Donald Trump caves to Israeli pressure again and joins the fight, the United States could face a full-blown war with Iran that will make Iraq look easy by comparison.
Written by Trita Parsi, the executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.
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Thats-Slander on
This is a load of crap, also there’s an almost 0% chance we see American or Israeli troops on the ground in Iran.
fuggitdude22 on
Israel does not have enough people to do a ground-invasion or regime change. It’d require the EU and the United States‘ getting in this mess.
Iran is not a pariah state like Saddam’s regime was. I can’t imagine Russia, China or even India completely sitting out here. They would likely provide internal logistical and ammunition support for Iran to resist an occupation.
The only people that would benefit from an invasion and toppling the regime would be Israel and Saudi Arabia. After the central authority in Iran collapses, a civil war between Kurdish, Arab, Azeri and Balochi Rebels is guaranteed. There are already movements on the ground today engaging guerilla warfare.
Furthermore, all the surrounding states in region would chip in to back those rebel groups to stretch their influence.
BaconMeetsCheese on
I wouldn’t be surprised. It was a ceasefire with no agreements via diplomacy between involved parties. I don’t remember seeing them trying to talk at all.
Breaking apart Iran like Syria, Lebanon, Iraq etc, and creating a greater Israel has always been the primary focus of the U.S. in the middle east (whether that is really in the U.S interest is a different story). The whole nuclear thing is just an excuse. Remember „weapon of mass destruction“ in Iraq?
Iran has a good chance to win a war of attrition again since the iron dome has been proven to be a joke.
Immediate_Gain_9480 on
Kinda depends on your idea of war. Them bombing each other a bit isnt really „war“. Ukraine and Russia is war. Iraq-Iran was war. War for me is large scale conventional warfare.
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Israel is likely to launch another war with Iran before December—perhaps even as early as late August. With Iran already rebuilding its military resources, Israel has an incentive to strike sooner rather than later, argues Trita Parsi.
Iran is expecting and preparing for the attack. It played the long game in the first war, pacing its missile attacks as it anticipated a protracted conflict. In the next round, however, Iran is likely to strike decisively from the outset, aiming to dispel any notion that it can be subdued under Israeli military dominance.
As a result, the coming war will likely be far bloodier than the first. If U.S. President Donald Trump caves to Israeli pressure again and joins the fight, the United States could face a full-blown war with Iran that will make Iraq look easy by comparison.
Written by Trita Parsi, the executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.
(Gift Link)
This is a load of crap, also there’s an almost 0% chance we see American or Israeli troops on the ground in Iran.
Israel does not have enough people to do a ground-invasion or regime change. It’d require the EU and the United States‘ getting in this mess.
Iran is not a pariah state like Saddam’s regime was. I can’t imagine Russia, China or even India completely sitting out here. They would likely provide internal logistical and ammunition support for Iran to resist an occupation.
The only people that would benefit from an invasion and toppling the regime would be Israel and Saudi Arabia. After the central authority in Iran collapses, a civil war between Kurdish, Arab, Azeri and Balochi Rebels is guaranteed. There are already movements on the ground today engaging guerilla warfare.
Furthermore, all the surrounding states in region would chip in to back those rebel groups to stretch their influence.
I wouldn’t be surprised. It was a ceasefire with no agreements via diplomacy between involved parties. I don’t remember seeing them trying to talk at all.
Breaking apart Iran like Syria, Lebanon, Iraq etc, and creating a greater Israel has always been the primary focus of the U.S. in the middle east (whether that is really in the U.S interest is a different story). The whole nuclear thing is just an excuse. Remember „weapon of mass destruction“ in Iraq?
Iran has a good chance to win a war of attrition again since the iron dome has been proven to be a joke.
Kinda depends on your idea of war. Them bombing each other a bit isnt really „war“. Ukraine and Russia is war. Iraq-Iran was war. War for me is large scale conventional warfare.