Die gefährliche Verzweiflung des Iran: Was kommt nach dem 12-tägigen Krieg vor
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-dangerous-desperation
Die gefährliche Verzweiflung des Iran: Was kommt nach dem 12-tägigen Krieg vor
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-dangerous-desperation
2 Kommentare
Reading this article I feel I really want to shake an author and shout „can you just say what you want to say in like 3 sentences and simple words?“ I still did not get what exactly is his idea.
I continually read articles like this and see people confuse great tactics for operational success. To conclude that the Israeli-American attacks were successful would be ludicrous and Irans even more recalcitrant attitude than before should be indicative of this.
For all the bluster of Iran being a terrorist regime, they’re actually very rational about their survival. They’ve come out of this war with renewed support of their population (or at least less contempt from them with the barbarians at the gates) and a belief that Israel cannot tolerate a war of attrition.
Iran will likely be a lot slower and more patient than these articles point out as I think the war actually showed they don’t need nukes to create deterrence. Israel didn’t ask for a ceasefire because they accomplished their goals; they did so because of a combination of Irans missiles making impact and a lack of strategic benefit in continuing. Iran has no reason to act out.