Atomkraft, konventionelle Kriege: Die gefährliche Erosion der Abschreckung

The situation in India and Pakistan is always going to be a teetering stalemate unless Pakistan has some sort of Jasmine Revolution like Tunisia, I am unsure if America/West would allow for it to happen. Pakistan is just an outpost of America’s scope into Middle East/Central Asian Hegemony and a democratic Pakistan could rupture that.

The Russo-Ukraine War is really down to spirit. The West should keep providing Ukraine utility for the time being as its just the right thing to do and crazier things have happened like Mujahedin outlasting the Soviet Occupation of Afghanistan or Ho Chi Minh winning the Vietnam War. Furthermore, I don’t think a ceasefire short of Ukraine being returned its stolen land or the stamped NATO membership would amount to much. Russia will just invade in another couple of years and blame something random for escalation.

Onto the Middle East, it really is just a battle between Israel and Iran at this point. Hamas and Hezbollah are decapitated. Hamas‘ rocket launchers in Gaza are evaporated and most of their leadership is wiped. The Arab States are more or less just spectators in the Middle East.