Ian Bremner über den jüngsten Überraschungseinfall der Ukraine in Russland. Hervorragende Analyse.

**TL;DR:**

• On Sunday, Ukraine executed one of the most extraordinary asymmetric operations in modern military history. Using drones produced indigenously for less than the cost of an iPhone, Ukraine took out strategic bombers worth upward of $100 million each.

• At a 300,000-to-one return on investment, this is the kind of asymmetric operation that can upend the rules of modern warfare. The lessons will reverberate globally, from Taipei to Islamabad.

• The success of Ukraine’s drone and sabotage operations challenges that theory of victory. It shows that Ukraine is not simply holding the line or surviving a war of attrition; it is shifting the battlefield and expanding the costs of continued war for Russia.

• The right kind of pressure from the United States, coordinated with European allies, could now stand a better chance of extracting a first-phase deal – whether that’s a 30-day ceasefire, a humanitarian corridor, or a prisoner swap – that could then potentially turn into something bigger and more durable.

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