Der nächste Krieg zwischen Indien und Pakistan: Warum Neu -Delhis Versäumnis, Islamabad zu verhindern
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/india/next-war-between-india-and-pakistan
Der nächste Krieg zwischen Indien und Pakistan: Warum Neu -Delhis Versäumnis, Islamabad zu verhindern
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/india/next-war-between-india-and-pakistan
4 Kommentare
[SS from essay by Aqil Shah, Adjunct Associate Professor at the Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He is the author of The Army and Democracy: Military Politics in Pakistan.]
Nearly two weeks after India and Pakistan reached an uneasy cease-fire, neither New Delhi nor Islamabad agree on what happened preceding it. India blames Pakistan for the April 22 terrorist attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that left 26 people dead; Pakistan denies responsibility. On May 7, India launched retaliatory missile strikes against targets in Pakistan associated with known terrorist groups Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed; both sides dispute the scale and impact of these attacks. That barrage prompted further salvos that led to the downing of Indian fighter jets (according to Pakistani and international media) and Pakistani jets (according to Indian media). Drones and missiles whizzed across the border in both directions, with the governments and national media offering dueling claims about targets hit, infrastructure destroyed, and lives lost. Fighting came to an end after senior U.S. officials pressed both sides to step back from the brink, but even here the fog of war prevails; while Islamabad thanked U.S. President Donald Trump for helping bring the fighting to an end, New Delhi denied that any mediation took place.
Although the dust remains in the air, some outcomes are clear. The recent fighting represents a significant escalation in the cross-border disputes that have periodically flared between [India](https://www.foreignaffairs.com/regions/india) and Pakistan. Unlike India’s limited punitive strikes in the past, this offensive pressed deeper into Pakistani territory. India’s Operation Sindoor ranged far beyond Pakistani-administered Kashmir into Punjab, Pakistan’s heartland, eventually hitting not just the facilities of militant groups but also military targets, including air bases. In recent decades, fighting has mostly been confined to the border region around the disputed territory of Kashmir. In May, Pakistan’s major metropolises and many big cities in northern India were on high alert.
**A Gallup Pakistan poll found that 96 percent of Pakistanis believe their country was victorious in the recent fighting. The military’s calls for national unity have momentarily drowned out public concerns over political repression and the country’s deep economic woes.**
Pakistan is essentially an oversized military dictatorship propped up by Western aid. Despite being in 2025, the country has still failed to eradicate polio or achieve a female literacy rate above 50%. Yet, it continues to allocate ample amounts of resources to militarization and provides shelter to terrorist groups.
What will deter terrorists? Nothing. Nothing ever deters a terrorist. When you give a theocratic ethnostate the sole purpose of existing to create a problem for another state, only the total dismantling of that state will produce deterrence.
95% of the Pakistani population lives on Opium, the bullshit they army feeds them. They still believe they won the 1965,1971 and 1999 wars. The other 5% (the intelligentsia and the wealthy which includes the top army brass) will bolt to US/UK/Canada/Europe at the first real sign of threat.
Why do Pakistani higher military officials and their families have so easy access to the western nations and getting citizenship/residency there ?
Pakistan’s biggest problem is not Kashmir and India- it is the massive secessionist movements in KPK (TTP), Balochistan (BLA) and Sindh (Sindhudesh Liberation Army). This will continue to harm any future investment in those regions- except China, who probably have buyers regret.
Between the suspended IWT, the global isolation they’re receiving and stuck financially and strategically at the mercy of big brother, China, they’re in a for a long and tough time. This will continue until the army who will never let go of power.