Gehen wir auf einen anderen Weltkrieg – oder haben wir bereits begonnen?
https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2025/may/10/are-we-heading-for-another-world-war-or-has-it-already-started
Gehen wir auf einen anderen Weltkrieg – oder haben wir bereits begonnen?
https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2025/may/10/are-we-heading-for-another-world-war-or-has-it-already-started
6 Kommentare
I think for much of human history ongoing regional wars were the norm. WWI and WWII were aberrations. We’re at that state now. Some fighting in a couple places in Africa, something going on in the middle East, something in south Asia, something in Europe, etc. I believe it’ll continue like that.
India, China, and Pakistan are truly commendable for not going nuclear. Can’t always bet on sane heads to prevail everywhere. MAD reduces the likelihood of a true WWIII.
World wars over Israel and Gaza are very unlikely. The only support Hamas can muster comes from a weakened Iran. The neighboring Arab states have too much to lose by meddling in it.
A world war over Pakistan and India is also unlikely. America has been aligned with Pakistan since the Cold War—Kissinger even supplied Pakistan during its genocidal campaign in 1971. There don’t seem to be any real consequences for Pakistan’s backing of, or providing safe haven to, terrorist groups. Its military dictatorship hides behind a nuclear arsenal. That said, the West may increasingly support India as a foil to China’s close relationship with Pakistan. It’s difficult to parse the direction of these dynamics at the moment.
The war between Ukraine and Russia appears to be a perpetual stalemate. If Russia refuses to return a reasonable amount of stolen territory and Ukraine’s security concerns aren’t addressed—either through NATO membership or increased arms stockpiles—we are simply laying the groundwork for a future incursion like we did in 2014.
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The fallacy here is thinking the Cold War ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union. Spoiler alert: it did not.
The only question now is how hot is the Cold War going to get now that the world has demonstrated they are unwilling and/or unable to stop aggressors with nuclear stockpiles.
Already started…
EU and NATO have been vocal about moving forward without America, but I wonder if history will repeat itself when they eventually call on us to step in. The world resents us playing global police, yet getting into chaos when we step back.