Hat Poilievre zu früh seinen Höhepunkt erreicht?

“Peaking too soon” is a rather silly, which suggests that candidates shouldn’t try *too* hard to be successful *too* early.

Of course should that success never happen, you can retroactively try harder earlier.

We don’t know, there’s some good examples of incumbents being unpopular for a while and still losing.

Most recently and probably most comparably is the NZ Labour party going down to defeat from the Conservatives. They also had a charismatic popular leader in Jacinda Arden who swept into power in 2017 and resigned right before the election in 2023 where Labour lost government.

The UK conservatives are likely headed to defeat as well with Labour showing a polling edge for years now.