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    Ich habe eine Website erstellt, die alle aktuellen Wettquoten, Umfragen und Nachrichten zur Wahl verfolgt [OC]


    Ich habe eine Website erstellt, die alle aktuellen Wettquoten, Umfragen und Nachrichten zur Wahl verfolgt [OC]

    Von Ok_Ad6632

    View 9 Comments

    9 Comments

    1. Ok_Ad6632 on

      Check it out! [https://willtrumpwin.com/](https://willtrumpwin.com/)

      This site is meant to be a politically neutral way to “check the pulse” on thhe presidential race. It updates every five minutes with data from Metaculus(Scientific forecasting platform), betting markets(PredictIt, Polymarket), pollsters (aggregated by 538), and news. Please let me know what you think!

    2. InadvisablyApplied on

      Interesting, but “Studies show” is a bit of a bold claim when basing it on one study based on one election year. Do you happen to know if there are more studies done on this?

      Edit: especially when the conclusion of that study says:

      >In 2008, FiveThirtyEight, a debiased poll-based forecast, offered to the general public a more accurate forecast than raw poll numbers or raw prediction market prices. But, the analysis here shows that were Intrade’s prices debiased, they would have provided a more accurate forecast

    3. adamdillabo on

      “Glad to hear she will handedly win so i dont have to waste my time voting” Hillary supporters

    4. theanedditor on

      I just wish people would stop using a picture of him from 9 years ago as his official image.

    5. Am094 on

      Buddy your github commit history looks fucked, remember to touch grass and stay hydrated bro!

    7. Extremely_Peaceful on

      Regardless of the veracity of the data or it’s interpretation, it’s a nice looking tool. Good job OP

    9. dunn000 on

      You really should have your sources more apparent given the severity of the subject in my opinion. Also the site “Will trump win?” Is also a little biased….

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