Nanos: Wenn der Arbeitskonflikt „seitwärts“ geht, könnte das den Rückzug des liberalen Kabinetts gefährden

This is an interesting opportunity for Singh. I’m curious to see how he handles it.

On the one hand, his pivot to other priorities is cited amongst traditional NDP labour supporters as their main criticism of his leadership.

On the other hand, diving into the immigration debate in order to champion Canadian labour was too risky because he’d then need to articulate his preferred outcome re: deportation versus naturalization.

The former isn’t popular with social progressives and newly gained members, while the latter is political suicide amongst the traditional, labour-focused core of the party.

However, this situation allows him the opportunity to champion labour outside the context of immigration. Could this re-engage his otherwise sceptical base?

We know an election is looming, and the NDP and Liberals must necessarily split in order to do political battle. This is the perfect wedge issue for Singh, given the smouldering rage within the left’s labour movement.

With this issue, he can respect the base, champion something progressive, differentiate himself from Trudeau’s policy, and with perfect timing to drive the wedge ever deeper ramping up to the election.

The Liberals have gone on retreat in Halifax to discuss this very issue and the viability of the partnership that they’ve so far rode into political unassailability. They’re also discussing international politics and relationships, likely with an American focus, to see if they can ride the coattails of Kamala’s Democratic rejuvenation and the impact of her positive messaging.

That message, though, doesn’t translate so well, here. At least, not for the Liberals. Sure, things probably aren’t *quite* as bad as many of us sardonically and cynically report them to be (there’s a degree of defiant absurdity in my own shitposts, to be sure).

But, the issues aren’t the same here and the resolutions she’s begun championing, at least in part, have already been rejected by Trudeau’s Liberals (grocer price controls, etc). And the new, more ‘hopeful’ messaging they’re embracing was exhausted long before now for the federal Liberals, with Trudeau’s (now failed) sunny ways mantra. If they try that again, it will likely fall flat with the undecided voter base. I think that would turn us even more cynical, since it will whitewash and dismiss the actual issues that are meaningful to us.

Anyhow, interesting to think about. Predictions, cynical, sardonic or sincere?

Edit: moved a comma, yada.