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    Meinung: Ist die NDP von Avi Lewis zum Scheitern verurteilt? Schreiben Sie den Nachruf noch nicht


    Meinung: Ist die NDP von Avi Lewis zum Scheitern verurteilt? Schreiben Sie den Nachruf noch nicht

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-avi-lewis-federal-ndp-leader/

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    13 Kommentare

    1. janisjoplinenjoyer on

      Plenty I disagree with in this column, some of which I even find laughable, but the mere acknowledgment that there’s opportunity and potential is a step above most of the commentariat so far.

    2. enki-42 on

      One thing I can say for sure is that I don’t think a McPherson win would have generated quite this much press.

      Whether Lewis can leverage it and turn it into support is an open question, but I think the opportunity is there and it wouldn’t be with a more moderate uncontroversial candidate.

    3. AlbertaGengar on

      The base is energized, best leadership fundraising ever, strongest first vote mandate ever, and many people are optimistic with Avi’s communication abilities and focus on pushing back against capital.

    4. WaltsClone on

      Everyone tripping over eachother trying to get in front of a camera to talk shit about Lewis right out of the gates is maybe his strongest endorsement.

    5. bigjimbay on

      I still don’t understand the doomers. People seem really uninformed when it comes to the party. The NDP were obliterated in the last election because of Singh, but the rebuild is going really well. Way better than most expected. People are excited about Lewis and his policies. I know I am!

    6. IlIIIIllIllI on

      I haven’t been surprised by the degree of vitriol against the NDP in media commentary and online comments. If anything, the immediate defensiveness of the establishment has reinforced my conviction that I was right to rank Avi first. Talking heads may be right that he is a divisive candidate, but the division is between the 99% and the 1%.

      Pretty funny to see all the accounts on Twitter and Bluesky who have been glazing Carney for a year pivot to being disaffected NDPers for a week. Canadian politics needs the breadth of having real left and right wing voices in federal politics. It has been a decade of all three major parties shifting to the right, about time the NDP makes a choice, differentiates itself and stands on principles.

    7. LaserRunRaccoon on

      I will continue to find it amusing that urban progressives get called out of touch campus activists for supporting a solution for cheaper essentials, building a strong clean energy industry to our displace fossil fuels emissions, taxing the rich, along with a foreign policy position that really seems to be in line with Canadians – especially since the war against Iran.

      Carney will likely get his majority, but he’s going to need to use it effectively to solve Canadian problems. As the article closes out:

      > The best thing that can happen to Mr. Lewis is for Prime Minister Mark Carney to get a comfortable majority through floor-crossings. He is in no hurry for an election, and on Monday, he said he was in no hurry to run in a by-election. There are few ridings where he could even finish second today, let alone win.
      >
      > If Mr. Carney succeeds, and voters retain their love for the middle of road, Mr. Lewis and the NDP may drift into non-existence. But give it a year or three. There could be more than a few voters who, finding themselves unsatisfied with Liberal driving, are open to a hard-left turn.

    8. Swimming-Violinist57 on

      So in Western politics in the last 15 or so years:

      NDP forms official opposition and Liberals are reduced to 3rd.

      Liberals sweep back into power with a majority next cycle.

      Brexit.

      Trump wins in 2016.

      Trump wins again in 2024 after the incumbent quits in the middle of the election.

      Conservatives blow a 25 point lead and lose in 2025

      That doesn’t even count all the out of the ordinary provincial and state level events (NDP winning in Alberta, etc).

      Yet people think the NDP has no chance?

      It is a volatile electorate to say the least.

      The most likely outcome is that the NDP has a modest bounce and flirts with official party status, and that’s a reasonable goal to have.

      It absolutely within the realm of possibility that it captures the affordability issue and rides some populist combination of anti American, anti establishment, anti corporate sentiment to a comeback.

    9. Drummers_Beat on

      He literally hasn’t done anything yet and I’m seeing pundits from all major parties – including the NDP – saying he’s going to kill the party. The fact is that the data shows otherwise:

      1) he outraised every other leadership candidate combined.

      2) he won a packed race against a sitting MP and union leader on the first ballot easily.

      3) he has charisma and enthusiasm.

      I don’t think he’s going to make the NDP into a governing party or anything but anyone saying he’s going to kill the party isn’t basing their opinion on any concrete foundation. Certainly not at this point.

    10. Former-Physics-1831 on

      They’re not doomed, nobody is in politics – as the LPC just proved.  But this reeks of a low-percentage play: somebody who fires up the base and nobody else, doubling down on unpopular opinions on resource extraction and immigration, and demanding cuts to defense spending 

      It’s a bold strategy Cotton, lets see how it works out for them

    11. CaptainCanusa on

      You think our healthcare is bad *now*? Wait until we have to treat everyone for the whiplash they’re going to get when they go from reading Post Media op-eds about Lewis to when they hear him speak for the first time.

      If I’m Lewis, this outrage at me winning is just handing me talking points I can beat the establishment over the head with.

    12. dslutherie on

      the military and resource development will be his issue. the places where the NDP are strongest are heavily invested or require heavy support from these industries. I don’t see how he can actually move the needle with that stance

    13. IKEA-SalesRep on

      Doomed? Highly doubt it. Depending on the political climate in a few years, they could be very successful. I think it would be key to get more NDP premiers in power, and enact some of these policies on smaller scales, show people they work.

      Focusing on building houses, more public options, and changing tax systems to benefit workers and go back to higher corporate tax rates. Heck, steal a page out of Trumps book: if they ever promised no tax on overtime, I’m pretty sure they would win the prairies in a landslide. Hard to argue with $20,000 extra in your pocket!

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