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    Avi Lewis ist eine Erstwahlsperre. Die Provinz-NDP sollte Angst haben.


    Avi Lewis ist eine Erstwahlsperre. Die Provinz-NDP sollte Angst haben.

    https://freddelorey.substack.com/p/avi-lewis-is-a-first-ballot-lock

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    13 Kommentare

    1. VermicelliMission396 on

      Delorey is a conservative partisan, a former conservative campaign manager, and a CBC regular who frequently expresses the opinion that the NDP needs to be for the Conservatives to form government. He is clearly of the opinion that Avi Lewis will be terrible for the conservatives and the NDP because Lewis is far too fringe and left-wing. I’ve seen some people say „oh the Conservatives are scared now!“; however, this guy genuinely wants the NDP to be strong: I have doubts he’s afraid of Lewis for any reason other than that he will make it more difficult for conservatives to win a federal election.

    2. GraveDiggingCynic on

      The BC Conservatives just lost another MLA, this time to assault charges.

      I feel like the BCNDP aren’t really sweating Avi Lewis becoming Federal NDP leader.

    3. doogie1993 on

      If a conservative tells you that someone is a bad candidate, they’re probably a good candidate. That being said, I’m still skeptical that Lewis is the lock that people think he is. The whole race to me has shades of Eby vs Appadurai, with McPherson being Eby and Lewis being Appadurai. Like that race, I still expect the establishment candidate to pull off a win one way or another.

    4. m_Pony on

      FTA:

      >Sunday’s coronation won’t revive a dead federal party, but his extremist agenda 

      Avi Lewis is an extremist? Sure, bud. Whatever you say. Just keep typing.

      >Avi Lewis isn’t just left-wing; he’s arguably the most radical, far-left extremist to ever take the helm of a major Canadian political party. We’re talking about a guy who literally wants to nationalize our grocery stores, completely defund the Canadian military, and aggressively shut down our entire energy sector by next Tuesday.

      This representation is a) just laughable b) entirely unnecessary to begin with. There’s no need for Conservatives to go gunning (for lack of a better term) for Lewis. It’s not like they’re about to see eye-to-eye on literally anything.

    5. yeetzapizza123 on

      I don’t really like Lewis but what are the NDP supposed to do? Just pray to be the liberals appendix forever? 

      Might as well try and actually distinguish yourself

    6. kettal on

      I’m going to focus on personality and vibes, because that’s what’s really determinative in electoral politics. The impression I have of Avi is that he is incredibly smug and sanctimonious.

    7. Radix838 on

      I started this race off strongly anti-Lewis. But I’ve changed my mind. The NDP is already dying. It needs a jolt of energy just to survive. Lewis won’t bring it into contention for a serious number of seats. But he will promote an unabashedly socialist message, which may actually peel some of the left in this country back from the Liberals. And that should be enough for the party to have *a* base for the next 5-10 years. Long enough to pay off some debt, maybe get official party status back, and have an infrastructure available for when Kinew or equivalent decides to go federal.

      Lewis could be bad for some provincial parties, although I doubt that he will get so much coverage that lots of people will even connect him to the provincial parties.

    8. AdAnxious8842 on

      Call me naive but I would think conservative supporters would want and would cheer on an NDP firmly planted on the left. This would be an NDP party that could potentially siphon off progressive voters from a right of centre Liberal party, relegating the Liberals back to minority status and possibly giving the CPC a chance at winning if they in turn can win back soft conservatives (yes, I know that’s a big ask and definitely another discussion).

      Personally, I watched the NDP contest from the sidelines, offered up a few comments (per above) and in the end, just waiting to see who wins and how they position the NDP. Then it starts to get interesting.

    9. Spaghetti_Dealer2020 on

      Even as a skeptical soft-supporter of Lewis, Im perfectly willing to debate and discuss the merits of his policy platform and actually be inclined to agree with some of his critics on certain points, but the one criticism that I frankly cant wrap my head around is how it relates to provincial parties.

      The Alberta NDP did exactly what the author would have suggested in its last leadership race (pick a centrist, non-threatening pragmatic leader who can appeal to corporate and pro-resource types) and has erased all the parties gains made by Notley since 2019. David Eby has similarly shifted to the right since his last election against Rustad and now appears likely to lose against whoever becomes the next BC Conservative leader (probably Milobar). Carla Beck and Marit Stiles in SK/ON appear stagnant or going backwards, and right now the only provincial success story is Wab in Manitoba.

      Thats a grand score of 1 out of 5, not exactly a glowing endorsement of the merits of centrism. Thats not me saying it cant work at all under any circumstances, but frankly it looks more likely that if the provincial parties fall it will be on their own (lack of) conviction, not anything Avi Lewis does or says.

      edit: grammar

    10. Snurgisdr on

      This is another great example of the split between those who think a party is a sports team whose job is just to win versus those who think it should represent an ideology.  If you win but nobody can tell the difference between you and some other party, what was the point other than to win?  I’m not voting just so you can sit in the big chair.

    11. Void-splain on

      This could read like one of the pearl clutching Mamdani hit pieces that didn’t age so well

      „We’re scared of being too much“ is exactly why workers parties have been getting spin-cycled for generations.

      Organized Labor used to show up at rallies with clubs and sticks, sometimes even rifles, ready to fight. Now we’re afraid of being perceived as boisterous and uppity? 🫪

    12. the_normal_person on

      despit some bombasticness andthe obvious bent – there are some interesting pooints here:

      > Her fatal flaw? She decided to run as a pragmatic centrist. That’s the exact right approach if you want to win a general election – as many successful provincial New Democrats have proven – but in leadership races in values-based parties, good freaking luck.

      > Trying to run as a centrist in the modern NDP is like trying to sell steak to a vegan. It fundamentally misreads the room. Unlike the federal Liberals – a party so completely devoid of core principles that they only care about clinging to power (which is exactly how you seamlessly pivot from the ideological extremes of Justin Trudeau to the corporate boardroom extremes of Prime Minister Mark Carney) – the Conservative and NDP leadership races are brutal, uncompromising fights for the heart and soul of their respective movements. McPherson took herself out of the running the moment she launched the wrong campaign for a party that currently treats “capitalism” as a swear word.

      I think this is probably true – the modern NDP has themselves in a bit of a trap – a more broadly apealable candidate wont do well in the dipper bubble that decides the party’s leader, and one who does do well in that unique environment will come off as completely out of touch to the rest of Canada.

      But the point of the article – that people are missing by getting caught up in the slightly over the top description of Lewis, is this:

      > Right now, the federal party is a broke, 6-seat laughingstock without official party status in the House of Commons. But provincially? The NDP is a powerhouse, currently sitting as the government or the Official Opposition in 6 of Canada’s 7 largest provinces…..Leaders like John Horgan, Wab Kinew, and Rachel Notley found massive success by dragging their parties to the pragmatic, business-friendly middle…..Avi Lewis wouldn’t be caught dead anywhere near that kind of pragmatism. As federal leader, his extreme views will instantly infect the brand of the entire integrated party. Every time he attacks the resource sector or champions a fringe socialist policy in Ottawa, Conservative and Liberal premiers are going to gleefully hang those quotes around the necks of every provincial NDP leader in the country. He isn’t just going to sink the federal party; he is going to drag the successful provincial wings down with him.

      Whether you agree that Lewis views represent what the NDP should be or not – the point of the article – which I somewhat agree with – is that Lewis is going to come in very stark contrast to provincial NDP leaders and probably cause some awkward messaging problems for them

    13. gin_possum on

      Lo ‘the ideological extremes of Justin Trudeau’. What’s this article about again? Oh yeah how Avi Lewis will lead the NDP too far left… so to the left of the liberals? Good grief. What business does one have warning of unelectable leftists with an approach like this?

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