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    Prognosen zufolge wird Armenien bis 2030 ein starkes BIP-Pro-Kopf-Wachstum verzeichnen

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    1. occupiedkoala on

      In a context where Az has a massive military budget but no growth and Armenia has a smaller economy but impressive growth, I wonder if Az will want to deplete its military budget with a quick war just to degrade Armenia’s economic outlook.

    2. Level-Post-3016 on

      Consider that the IMF is underestimating Armenias growth and overestimating on the Azerbaijani side, They talk about azerbaijan having average 3% growth in that decade and Armenia about 4.5-5.5%.

      The reality is different, Armenia got 7.2% in 2025, Azerbaijan actual 1.4% in 2025. The IMF just hasnt updated it yet because they publish their year end results in April always.

      Also a side note Azerbaijans gdp grew by 0.3% in jan-feb this year and nominal wise it dropped by 350M dollars, yes the war in iran may fix it bit but temporarily only. Their grow is way below of what everyone else projects for them.

      See it as my opinion but im believing that Armenia will have in the next years sustained 6-7% GDP growth and get around 14k gdp capita or 28k ppp 2021 prices which makes Armenia in 2030 equal to Turkey of 2021 basicly
      or Poland 2012.

      Budget Wise, the armenian government published a document PDF where they already project expenditures of 11.6B with 27.5% of expenditures to GDP (that their case if 5% growth rate keeps on)

      So even at this 5% case Armenia will be somewhat 40% spending of what Azerbaijan does, if we talk about 6-8% growth then its likely 13B vs 24-26B because I expect Azerbaijans gdp to dont increase dramaticly in the next years exceeding 80B exept of oil stuff happening for the long term.

      You want know my sources? okay sure ask me….

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