Polymarket-Händler, der mit dem Iran-Krieg Millionen verdient, hinterließ eine leicht zu verfolgende digitale Spur: „Wie ein Kind hat das alles aufgebaut“

https://nypost.com/2026/03/26/world-news/polymarket-trader-making-millions-on-iran-war-left-easy-to-follow-digital-trail/

3 Kommentare

  1. A suspected inside trader on the prediction market [platform Polymarket](https://nypost.com/2026/03/22/us-news/prediction-markets-latest-wild-west-accusations-users-are-getting-suckered-by-insider-trading/) netted $2.14 million in profits by correctly betting on a US military strike on Iran, but experts say they’re not covering their tracks very well.

    A single user is behind 38 accounts that collectively achieved a near-100 percent win rate by predicting US military actions that had not been disclosed to the public, a blockchain forensics expert and professional trader verified to The Post.

    All of the accounts eventually routed their winnings back to the same deposit address on cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, according to blockchain analysis — a publicly available ledger that follows crypto from user-to-user while maintaining the user’s anonymity.

    The suspicious trader was behaving in a shockingly “amateur” way, as if he or she “doesn’t care” if they were discovered, the expert said.

    “It’s like they asked their kid to set this up,” the source said after following the digital trail.

    Due to a number of well-timed bets on various platforms which have cashed in on unpublished Iran war intel, rumors of military leaks have been abound. 

  2. Realistic-Plant3957 on

    TLDR

    A suspected insider trader on the prediction market platform Polymarket reportedly made $2.14 million by accurately betting on U.S. military strikes against Iran. This individual is linked to 38 accounts that achieved nearly a 100% win rate by predicting undisclosed military actions. Blockchain analysis revealed that all winnings were funneled back to a single Coinbase deposit address, raising red flags about the trader’s methods. Experts describe the trader’s approach as „amateur,“ suggesting a lack of awareness about crypto tracking. The situation has prompted speculation about potential military leaks, although experts doubt this. Polymarket, which operates offshore, faces scrutiny over its legal status and has recently implemented rules to combat insider trading, though enforcement remains a challenge.


    *This TL;DR was generated by a bot. Please verify important information from the source.*

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