Close Menu
    Daten

    Globale Geburtenprognosen für das Jahr 2000 und was passiert ist [OC]


    Globale Geburtenprognosen für das Jahr 2000 und was passiert ist [OC]

    Von cavedave

    View 6 Comments

    6 Kommentare

    1. cavedave on

      ‚***The Global 2000 Report to the President*** was a 1980 report commissioned by President [Jimmy Carter](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jimmy_Carter). It warned that [world population growth](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth#Population_growth_rate), [pollution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pollution) and [resource depletion](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_depletion) would have dramatic consequences by the year 2000 if no changes in public policy were made‘ [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Global_2000_Report_to_the_President](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Global_2000_Report_to_the_President)

      Python mathpoltlib code and data from the chapter page 88 in volume 3 linked to by wikipedia.

    2. -p-e-w- on

      Two patterns can be consistently observed in society:

      * Predictions for the future, including scientific ones, tend to be hilariously inaccurate, with widely assumed future developments (e.g. manned NASA Mars missions by the 1980s) just flat out failing to materialize, while overwhelmingly important trends (such as the rapid growth of the Internet) aren’t on anyone’s radar.

      * Nevertheless, people always insist that broad and disruptive policy changes are made based on things that they are absolutely certain will happen 30 years from now.

    3. irrealewunsche on

      I was interested as to what the death rate/1000 was globally, and apparently it was 7.8 last year.

    4. ChestHistorical6945 on

      Basically, the expectations were bad but we still managed to do worse.

    5. Ill-Construction-209 on

      We shouldn’t be too alarmed by this. Despite the decline, that rate still represents population growth.

    6. allwordsaremadeup on

      I’m interested in the associated resource-use predictions and whether they hit closer to the mark. Population as a footprint means little, as the rich consume/pollute many many multiples of the poor.

    Leave A Reply