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    Wetten auf die Oscars oder die Halbzeitshow des Super Bowl würden nach dem neuen Prognosemarktgesetz verboten


    Wetten auf die Oscars oder die Halbzeitshow des Super Bowl würden nach dem neuen Prognosemarktgesetz verboten

    https://www.businessinsider.com/murphy-casar-bets-off-prediction-markets-government-actions-2026-3

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    27 Kommentare

    1. AbeFromanEast on

      15 years from now legalized sports gambling and prop/prediction-markets gambling will be viewed as Oxycontin is seen today: an obvious social epidemic we could have done something about before it financially ruined another generation of young men.

      But hey, profits!

    3. cosmernautfourtwenty on

      And they’d deserve it what with the whole „taking people’s money to gamble on war crimes and nuclear annihilation“ shit.

    5. akurgo on

      So if insider knowledge is possible, betting would be illegal. Applies to almost everything but lotteries, doesn’t it? Like when people bet on Christ returning this year. What if someone got inside knowledge through a chat with higher powers?

    8. innocentsalad on

      Are there any positives about „prediction markets“ (just say gambling dudes we all know what it is)

    10. Previous_Soil_5144 on

      We collectively seem to have forgotten why gambling on EVERYTHING can be a bad thing: people don’t really want to „gamble“; they want to WIN.

      Eventually, some people will do ANYTHING to win their bets. They will threaten, disrupt, kidnap, kill, steal….whatever it takes. Now imagine that, x10,000,000 people who all want the same outcome to an event…

      It’s a recipe for disaster. Not to mention people going bankrupt on bad bets, but on a scale we can’t imagine.

    15. Drone314 on

      The mobsters of old must be rolling in their graves….The app should be called BookMaker

    19. IssueEmbarrassed8103 on

      I was watching the prediction markets during the Oscar’s and it was crystal clear that insiders knew what was coming an hour before live audiences when there were huge swings predicting upsets.

    20. Sylanthra on

      Banning
      > events where individuals know or can control the outcome.

      Sounds like such a no-brainer, you know for certain congress will not do it. In fact, anyone care to bet on this 😛

    21. ohyouretough on

      We should open prop bets on these markets for the founders of the markets to be removed from their role similar to the Iran bet. Let’s see how they feel about betting on anything then.

    24. kawag on

      I love how people are saying “prediction markets” are bad, addictive, full of insider trading, etc.

      I read that. Then I take a look at Wall Street…

    25. reverendsteveii on

      gangs are threatening journalists to get them to rewrite articles because they bet on the news. i think there’s a responsible way to gamble and have fun but we need to shut whatever the fuck this is down while we figure out what that is

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