Der US-Geheimdienst sagt, dass das iranische Regime seine Macht konsolidiert

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/16/iran-regime-intelligence-irgc-war/

27 Kommentare

  1. Alert-Algae-6674 on

    The difficult thing is that the longer US and Israel keep striking Iran, collateral casualties will inevitably rise and will help public sentiment shift in favor of the regime.

    We didn’t even have an accurate measure of how many in Iran were supportive vs against the regime in the first place. We know that at least tens of thousands were against the regime based on the protests, but Iran is a nation of 91 million people after all, so it is still hard to truly know what is the majority sentiment on the ground

  2. ConsequenceNo2571 on

    >I don’t care who’s consolidating their power.

    – Marge Simpson

  3. No_Iron_8087 on

    Yes, obviously.

    Every single expert said this would happen decades before this war, that the IRGC has its tendrils in almost every essential industry and is effectively a hydra. It is literally designed to operate better during a war.

    If the protests were allowed to foment, if a leader and a clear objective was allowed to form from the inside without intervention, the regime would have been in a lot more trouble than they are now. The political class in Iran had already begun to fracture, reformists were being jailed, Rouhani was literally reported as being under house arrest. Things were in the infancy of change.

    All this war has done is force people to have to make an unnecessary choice between Western intervention or to support the regime instead of the choice of autonomy, of deciding whether they were actually for or against the IR itself.

  4. BigBirdsBrain on

    Every regime “consolidates power” when pressure ramps up.
    now is that stability durable or just surface level control??

  5. But Marge, it works on any Ayatollah! Ayatollah Nakhbadeh, Ayatollah Zahedi… Even as we speak, Ayatollah Razmara and his cadre of fanatics are consolidating their power! 

  6. asdhjasdhlkjashdhgf on

    Ambivalent wording, „consolidating“ can also mean cleaning down to the bare structure until its empty. Guessing washing-ton-post intended that pun.

  7. This is what nations do. They rebuild in the image they want.

    It continues to astound me that after Vietnam, Grenada, Panama, Afghanistan and Iraq the US still believes that they can change regimes. Nothing changes, they just sit and wait until the red laser pointer changes to a different wall.

    The Iranians know the playbook, they saw it in Iraq – go to ground, wait a bit, then come out when the US loses the will to do anything.

  8. PanicOverNothing on

    The US war has made life easier for the IRGC in some respects, if they do win this war they will be seen by the Iranian people as heroes and the IRGC people killed by foreign powers as martyrs.

    Another thing is that any opposition that tries to form itself now will immediately be unable to do anything as they will be seen as traitors and be executed – they also will most likely be unable to garner support when they are opposing the regime that is fighting for the Iranian people.

    There is also a really important view as well that was said before congress by general general grynkewich who is commander EUCOM, who said that when air power is used against a civillian population, that it generally hardens the people’s resolve rather than break them.

    The US has probably cemented the IRGC in Iran if they don’t collapse during this war.

  9. Surely they knew this would happen right? Of course they did, but all the pro war people will continue to blabber about how the Iranian people are being liberated while the IRGC hardliners consolidate power in the government.

  10. HoneyBadger552 on

    umm this was predicted. youre installing something far worse. mission accomplished cadet bone spurs

  11. harlotstoast on

    Israel’s goal isn’t regime change, it’s total destruction of Iran. They tricked the US into a quagmire and now they’ll have to see it through.

  12. SnuffleWarrior on

    *We’ve already won and don’t need your help*

    *We hate you because you won’t help*

    *It’s Biden’s fault*

  13. Another_Slut_Dragon on

    It is easy to consolidate power when you have a common enemy. Trump tried to do that with calling trans people and Canada a common enemy. It didn’t work.

    But the country bombing the shit out of elementary schools your country? Real easy to motivate people and rally them against a common enemy.

  14. Billions of dollars spent and lives needlessly lost to replace the Iranian regime with the Iranian regime.

    PLUS global oil prices going ham wild 📈

    Big brain moves.

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