https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGa0mwR5XAQ
Ich persönlich: Unwahrscheinlich und tot in der Science-Fiction-Welt. Ich glaube nicht, dass dies in den nächsten 200 Jahren passieren wird, aber ich bin auch skeptisch, ob wir uns auf dem Weg dorthin befinden.
Accuracy? Are the timelines too sci-fi or realistic
byu/Imaginary_Mode8865 inFuturology
7 Kommentare
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Timelines? Predictions? All useless.
It can happen way faster, or take decades.
I really don’t understand why people waste so much time with this BS of trying to predict the future.
I mean it says „Metaverse“ for 2020s and, well, do you see anyone using the Metaverse? Like for real? Meanwhile it has tidal and wave energy in 2040 and we’ve had that for decades. Terraforming Mars in 2070 is just like physically not in the cards. AGI in 2030? Not a chance; current „AI“ is a dead end on that path and there’s no strong alternative contender yet. I think this is way off.
Once AI exists, and can be used to improve itself, it will be impossible for humans to predict what it’s timeline is going to look like.
Is AI general like the dollar general? If so then yea I could see that being a thing in 2030
General AI by 2030? Haha nahh fam.
While we have decentish AI. We are sooo far removed from General AI, it is not even a possibility.
2040 or 2050 there might be one Data Center that managed to build a general AI. With a very big if.
Hyperloop cities? Lol. I can’t take a video seriously when it includes that scam as if it were a real thing.
Anyway, boring answer? Who knows. Humans have been historically pretty bad at predicting timelines on this sort of stuff decades ahead.
I mean, just as an example, Back to the Future 2 had flying cars and holograms in 2015 but no smartphones or microwaves.
The best you can hope for is a very vague guess in some technologies, particularly ones that are already pretty far along. Although even then…