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5 Kommentare
>Our latest Spark Insights survey had a sample of 3055 nationwide, and included 368 interviews in Alberta, where we found the Conservatives with a slim 3 point lead over the Liberals (41%-38%).
>In Saskatchewan (our sample is a lot smaller with only 104 cases) we are seeing similar signs, with the Liberals at 40% and the Conservatives at 39%.
Actually insane. Really never thought I’d be seeing numbers like those out of Alberta in particular
I’m surprised Carney called the byelections already and didn’t set himself up for a general election. Perhaps he knew there was another floor crosser or two coming his way (plus the two safe TO ridings)
By driving Trudeau out and frightening NDP voters with his rural Alberta crazy, Pollievre robbed the CPC of the chance to use that natural swing back to the centre right that occurs after Canadians get fed up of the Liberal Party.
It would have been them, but PP botched it and gave the Liberals the chance to regroup and readjust themselves to where the public is now.
This poll is wild, particularly the Alberta numbers.
Tories only lead the LPC 41-38, and with a 15% NDP share? I have doubts.
I reckon the LPC is running competitive in Calgary and Edmonton and could pluck off marginals in both, but Rural Alberta is still going to be like CPC+60. They will never kick the Tories out.
Mark Carney being able to get Conservative MPs to cross the floor doesn’t surprise me. He’s basically a Progressive Conservative. However, him being able to get an NDP MP to cross is wild.
I remember all the headlines early on in his leadership about whether he could transition into being a politician and playing the game of politics. I’d say, yeah, he pretty clearly can.