31 Kommentare

  1. WildGrocery7942 on

    Sixteen years is more than enough time for any leader to show their true priorities

  2. I am so ready to welcome Hungary back to being among civilised nations in central Europe

  3. I guess we will find out soon if that’s true or just wishful thinking. 

  4. dat_9600gt_user on

    Now will that sentiment translate into election results, we’ll see.

  5. I hate those click bait headlines. IF the people of Hungary are actually „fed up“ with orban will be shown AFTER the election.

  6. James420May on

    Pointless articles. Orban will try to fix the elections; he will not admit defeat. It will be a shitshow.

  7. Give it a few years and people will fall for a fascist cunt like him again.

  8. OliveTreeFounder on

    With the huge USA and Russia support Orban will receive, I bet the result of the election will be far from what polls indicate.

  9. I won’t be optimistic. Orban might be gone, but not the system he built over all these years with his people everywhere.

  10. As a hungarian, the title is very misleading. Yes, there is a chance to beat Orbán in the upcoming elections, but the race is tight, he might be reelected.

  11. dat_9600gt_user on

    Hungary knows hope—and heartbreak. ’89 felt electric. The Iron Curtain crashed, and suddenly the future was right there—democracy, Europe, freedom, all glittering just out of reach. For a split second, anything seemed possible. The whole country held their breath.

    Then came 2010. Orbán, back in the driver’s seat, promising to drain the swamp and deliver the reset we craved. People bought it—maybe because we wanted to. For a while, the air lit up with possibility.

    Sixteen years on, and what’s left? Promises worn to rags, hope gone. Growth is a ghost story, prices are a running joke, and cronyism hasn’t gone anywhere—it just got better PR. Renewal? Call it what it is: reruns with sharper elbows and no apologies left to give.

    # Promises vs. reality

    Orbán came in riding a wave of hope, promising renewal. Instead, the country has lived through sixteen years of political theatre. Policy Solutions analyst [András Bíró-Nagy](https://hvg.hu/360/20260309_foreign-policy-vendegkommentar-orban-viktor-a-politikai-tulelesert-kuzd-es-ennek-megfeleloen-cselekszik#:~:text=B%C3%ADr%C3%B3,k%C3%B6zszolg%C3%A1ltat%C3%A1sok%20%C3%A9s%20nagy%20a%20korrupci%C3%B3) put it bluntly: “Orbán has lost much of his lustre, since economic growth has stalled, public services are deteriorating, and corruption is high.” That sentiment increasingly reflects public opinion in Hungary today.

    In fact, even experts tracking the country’s growing emigration say the mood is shifting. As labour market analyst József Nógrádi told [24.hu](http://24.hu), *“the trend is worrying: it shows more and more people cannot find their place at home… moreover, it is precisely among young people that the willingness to emigrate has increased.”*

    Key promises have fallen flat, too: the long-promised low utility bills gave way to new fees and soaring energy costs as inflation raced ahead.

    # Economic hardships

    Every trip to the shops now stings. Groceries, rent, utilities — all up, while wages have barely moved. [Hungary’s Central Statistical Office](https://www.ksh.hu/?lang=en) puts inflation at 4.4% for 2025. That number might look modest on a spreadsheet, but for most people, it’s another year of stretching less and less.

    Wages are still crawling. In 2024, the average Hungarian paycheque barely scraped €18,500 — half the EU average, if that. Talk to anyone under thirty, and you’ll hear the same thing: stuck in neutral, watching their ambitions vanish in the side mirror while Europe blurs past.

    Not surprisingly, the [latest data](https://www.valaszonline.hu/2025/03/25/magyarorszag-elvandorlas-bevandorlas-tarsadalmi-riport-eurostat-nagykep/#:~:text=Horv%C3%A1th%20Veronika%2C%20a%20K%C3%B6zponti%20Statisztikai,Val%C3%B3j%C3%A1ban) show record emigration: roughly 36,000 Hungarians left in 2023, many seeking decent pay and opportunity abroad. Orbán’s playbook has been simple: tax breaks for friends, EU cash for cronies. While ordinary Hungarians painfully count down to their next paycheque, Orbán’s inner circle seems to have no such problem.

    # Fear, lies and corruption

    Same old script: blame and deflect. Brussels, migrants, Soros—they’re rolled out like clockwork, just to keep the heat off his own house. Blame bounces off the walls, but never sticks to him or his circle.

    This constant fear-mongering has finally run its course. Péter Magyar, a rising opposition figure, [summarised it harshly](https://telex.hu/english/2025/10/23/the-tisza-party-is-going-to-win-this-election-not-by-a-small-margin-but-by-a-huge-one?utm_source=chatgpt.com): “The politician who in 1989 demanded the Russian troops leave Hungary is now the Kremlin’s most loyal ally…”

    *Increasingly, that narrative appears to be wearing thin.*

    The numbers don’t lie. Most Hungarians now say corruption’s only gotten worse, 63% think it’s up since 2010. That’s the new reality.

    [Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index](https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2025/index/hun) comes out, and every year, Hungary slips further down the list. For many Hungarians, cynicism isn’t an attitude anymore. It’s simply the only logical response to a system that feels rigged from the start.

    Stunning [corruption](https://thehungaryreport.com/orbans-hungary-cost-of-corruption/) scandals haven’t helped. Take the so-called “Elios” affair: EU investigators found that modern streetlight contracts run by Orbán’s son-in-law had serious irregularities. Yet Hungarian police closed the case with “no crime”, according to [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/article/business/hungarian-police-find-no-crime-in-projects-disputed-by-eu-anti-fraud-office-idUSKCN1NC12M). No one was charged, and some towns even complained that the new lights performed worse than the old ones.

    Stories like this leave many Hungarians telling pollsters, “We don’t trust anything politicians say.” Even protests in Parliament end with the chant “Nem hagyjuk!” (“We won’t let it stand!”).

    # Turning away from Europe

    And then there’s the bigger picture.

    Orbán has used his veto again and again — blocking EU sanctions on Russia, holding up aid to Ukraine — and in doing so has made Hungary an outlier among its allies. It’s a trajectory that analysts have been flagging for years, drawing comparisons with Turkey and, until recently, Poland.

    Of course, Budapest has a ready answer: sovereignty. Brussels overreaching. Hungarian values are under threat. They’ve run that play for years — and for a long time, it worked. But when you’re struggling to pay rent, the sovereignty argument starts to feel a bit thin.

    The next steps are familiar. Courts lose independence. The press faces pressure or is bought out. Opposition becomes risky, so fewer people take part. Democratic structures stay in place on paper, but the substance fades away, election by election and institution by institution.

    Hungary is increasingly viewed as part of that trend. Even some EU diplomats quietly ask whether Budapest still shares the alliance’s values.

    # Repression of freedoms

    On civil rights, the change has been stark. In 2022–2023, the government passed a series of “child protection” laws that, in practice, ban LGBTQ+ content in schools and media.

    In early 2025, Parliament even outlawed the Budapest Pride march, making it illegal to publicly support it — for fear of “harming children.” The ruling party’s MPs say even participants should be punished.

    Human rights groups and Brussels have lit up in protest. EU law says Hungary must protect minority rights and freedom of assembly — rights these new rules bulldoze without apology.

    The European Commission has already launched infringement cases over earlier laws, and legislation restricting Pride events adds to the pressure. Hungarians who remember Europe helping write our 1989 Constitution feel betrayed — they say Hungary is now abandoning the democratic values it once championed.

    # Signs of change

    After four election victories, Orbán’s iron grip is finally slipping. In the past year, we’ve seen big protests and a new opposition coalition make unexpected gains.

    A December poll by [Telex](https://telex.hu/belfold/2025/12/02/eotvos-lorand-tudomanyegyetem-szociologia-intezet-kutatas-partpreferenciak), citing research by Závecz, found that only 47% of Hungarians want to keep Orbán’s government in power.

    The new Tisza party now leads most independent polls.

    Even Fidesz’s own base is restless. New data from [HVG](https://hvg.hu/itthon/20260217_fidesz-orban-korrupcio-kozvelemeny-kutatas#:~:text=Az%20aHang%20%C3%A1ltal%20febru%C3%A1rban%20rendelt%C2%A0k%C3%B6zv%C3%A9lem%C3%A9ny,%C3%A9s%20csak%207%20sz%C3%A1zal%C3%A9ka%20cs%C3%B6kken%C3%A9st) show that a majority of Fidesz voters believe the government failed to fight corruption. Those are damning words about Orbán’s record.

    # Conclusion

    Hungary has pulled off a democratic transformation before — in 1989. That history matters. But history doesn’t vote. The real question is whether ordinary Hungarians, squeezed by rising costs and shrinking freedoms, still have the will to demand something different — and whether, this time, it isn’t already too late.

    **Peter Dosa** is the founder and editor of *The Hungary Report*, an independent publication covering Hungarian politics, democracy and EU affairs. He holds an **MA in Current Democracies from Universitat Pompeu Fabra** and a **BA in Political Science & Spanish from University College Dublin**. His work focuses on elections, democratic institutions and European political developments.

  12. Are they though?
    Are they really?

    Let us see who wins in the next election, THEN I’ll believe it.

  13. thenamelessone7 on

    I bet the exit polls will say there was 120% participation and Orban won in a landslide 70:50 😂😂

  14. ExoticSterby42 on

    We were fed up 12 years ago but the elections played out… differently

  15. Orban is the pioneer of the alt-right movement in Europe. Dear Europeans! You can learn from the Hungarian and Polish case. Don’t vote for alt-right parties like the RN, AfD or Reform UK! They’ll ruin everything and sell your countries to Eastern despots. Just like they did in Hungary!

  16. ProtectionFull6223 on

    The only ones tired of Orban are the globalists who don’t believe that sovereign nations should have borders!

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