Wachsende Befürchtungen, dass Ungarns Orbán die Wahl im nächsten Monat absagen könnte

A single outlier poll, of course, should be taken with a grain of salt. Still, the Medián poll was enough of a shock that Orbán, who likes to fashion himself a statesman above the political fray, reacted by calling the head of Medián a “[great comedian](https://telex.hu/belfold/2026/02/25/orban-viktor-median-felmeres-hann-endre-reakcio).” Within hours after the poll’s release, a government-sponsored research firm named Nézőpont [produced its own poll](https://telex.hu/belfold/2026/02/25/nezopont-median-utan-fidesz-elony) showing Fidesz ahead of Tisza by 5 points—a result best interpreted as state-sponsored propaganda.

Faced with the very real prospect of losing an election, Orbán’s campaign tactics have evolved from the ugly to the dangerous to the deeply sinister. Now—much as critics of Donald Trump speculate about what, after his attempt to steal the 2020 election, the U.S. president might try in 2026 or 2028—observers of Hungarian politics worry that the Trump-supported Orbán will try something desperate to stay in power. Some [commentators](https://reportary.com/article/hungary-is-preparing-for-an-election-it-may-refuse-to-accept) have %5Bsuggested%5D(https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/01/hungarians-want-to-kick-viktor-orban-out-of-power/) that he is laying the predicates to either cancel the election or invalidate its results. The pretext would be allegations of a Ukrainian attack on Hungarian sovereignty.