[Voting intentions in all regions.](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hqGb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2a3cf09-a593-45d7-ac9e-b4d02fedc577_1663x970.png)
topspinvan on
I really find that hard to believe. Particularly the Quebec numbers as they are about to elect a PQ premier, and Manitoba/Saskatchewan where its basically a tie. A tie in those provinces basically means the maple-MAGA/PC coalition has been severed and the Liberals will coast to victory as long as the Bloc doesn’t over-perform.
I still suspect that if an election were called this spring we’d see an outcome closer to what we just saw last year, with the Liberals having some slight gains in Ontario and losses in Quebec.
na85 on
Is anybody doing speculative polling on „CPC but with a different leader“?
He might be a smart guy but Poilievre consistently polls well below his party and I’ve been saying since before Carney officially announced his leadership bid that Poilievre is too polarizing on a personal level to win against anyone competent (i.e. not Trudeau). I bet the numbers change completely with a different Federal conservative leader.
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[Voting intentions in all regions.](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hqGb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2a3cf09-a593-45d7-ac9e-b4d02fedc577_1663x970.png)
I really find that hard to believe. Particularly the Quebec numbers as they are about to elect a PQ premier, and Manitoba/Saskatchewan where its basically a tie. A tie in those provinces basically means the maple-MAGA/PC coalition has been severed and the Liberals will coast to victory as long as the Bloc doesn’t over-perform.
I still suspect that if an election were called this spring we’d see an outcome closer to what we just saw last year, with the Liberals having some slight gains in Ontario and losses in Quebec.
Is anybody doing speculative polling on „CPC but with a different leader“?
He might be a smart guy but Poilievre consistently polls well below his party and I’ve been saying since before Carney officially announced his leadership bid that Poilievre is too polarizing on a personal level to win against anyone competent (i.e. not Trudeau). I bet the numbers change completely with a different Federal conservative leader.