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2 Kommentare
My crystal ball prediction is that Poilievre being re-elected by Conservatives to remain the leader (ironically) solidifies a Liberal majority. The Liberals are effectively one seat away from a majority government considering that Freeland’s former seat in downtown Toronto is vacant, but pretty much guaranteed to remain Liberal. They’ve already been able to poach two conservatives after the election last year, and keeping Poilievre solidifies that the party has taken a populist turn and is unable to change direction or regroup after blowing a gigantic polling lead. It would only take one more centrist-leaning and disgruntled Conservative MP to fundamentally shift Parliament.
Regardless of current polling it seems like he’ll be staying on. Under those conditions I think that taking more floor crossers could actually be a mistake.
Forcing him to take ownership as a member of the minority government neuters him, and might prompt some maturation in his rhetoric. Plus it keeps the party as a whole from running off into an echo chamber for another 4 years.