Berichten zufolge hat Kanadas Militär eine hypothetische US-Invasion modelliert

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-20/canada-s-military-has-modeled-hypothetical-us-invasion-reports-say

27 Kommentare

  1. Place your bets, folks. How many new war-crimes will be added to the Geneva Convention?

  2. Ok-Working3714 on

    I’ll be standing at the border with my Sherwood PMP 5030 and my goose.

  3. Kooky_Nail694 on

    „That’s a sign of hostility towards the USA and we must assemble troops to the Northern border.“ – MAGA

  4. Difficult_Bad1064 on

    Of course they have. All of Europe will have too.

    Trump is busy making threats thinking that everyone will just play along. Meanwhile everyone is being diplomatic whilst making offensive contingency plans in the background.

  5. AnonOldGuy3 on

    Thats the way to do it. If you are threatened, check your systems.
    It is called proactive security.

  6. undiehundie on

    This isn’t news. Most countries plan for all types of scenarios, invasion from land borders included. In the same vein the US has plans for if Canada were to invade.

  7. This is a reference to [Defense Scheme 1](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defence_Scheme_No._1)

    I wouldn’t be surprised if they either:

    A. because of recent headlines and events is being published a-la clickbait

    Or

    B. They’ve recently updated Defense Scheme 1 as either coincidence or for more “on the nose” reasons.

    Why?

    Because pretty much every competent military on earth routinely has war planning done for every possible scenario. It’s an exercise to teach young officers and cadets war planning strategy and war gaming maneuvers.

    The US government has had a war plan for invading every major nation on earth as far back as a century ago. Canada’s (and the British empire at the time) is called [War Plan Red](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Plan_Red). I wouldn’t be surprised if these plans are “updated” every couple of years to align with advances in technologies, troop strength, population, etc. Hell, there’s even an existing war plan against a theoretical zombie outbreak ([CONOP 8888](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CONOP_8888))

    TLDR: clickbait title.

  8. lazytothinkofaname on

    Every time these posts pop up on the feed I have to double-check whether it’s satire or reality.. dangerous times

  9. Irrelevantitis on

    Wouldn’t any military worth half a shit have contingency plans like this anyway, Trump or no Trump? I’d honestly be surprised if these “what if” scenarios weren’t originally drawn up many decades ago and just periodically updated.

  10. Witty_Formal7305 on

    Keep in mind they MODELED it, they haven’t actually come up with a plan for it that we know of.

    The U.S on the other hand has plans on how to fight basically every country afaik including Canada that they update on a regular basis.

    Canada also historically had actual plans on how to defend from a U.S invasion up until WWII iirc? Atleast the 1920’s. The U.S not being a threat to us hasn’t historically been the norm.

  11. This isn’t new… But given everything that’s been happening well….

  12. originalbromontana on

    There are some 1930’s era plans circulating on the Internet. I think its essentially use the land army to slow things down to give the government time to evacuate concentrating on a few vital strategic areas, and letting the navy get out of port (in this day, probably getting air force to allied country). I think the idea is to minimize destruction and perhaps allow a puppet government. I doubt you see an extensive shooting war.

    From there you likely get a government in exile in London, and the ability organize partisans, sabotage, strikes, protests etc. In Canada, many of these partisans would be people with university degrees so things like computer hacking skills or drone warfare skills are common. Also consider high rates of gun ownership among civilians and many isolated areas.

    For a comparison, think of Ireland during the troubles – Canada is ten times the population and 127 times bigger in size.

    The real defense though is that the US army would be harming a lot of US businesses with operations in Canada and the significant portion of Canadian wealth that is invested in US companies would suddenly flee the market, and there would be far reaching sanctions. Other countries might offer exile/right of return and a lot of the high end talent flees.

    Also any US invasion has to go through a lot of Americans before it even reached Canada (I am recalling a historical conflict which I am foggy on, where the Governor of Michigan (I think) was prepared to send the National Guard against the Regular Army). An armed invasion would effectively evaporate trillions of dollars in capital in the United States.

    The US would lose its standing as a leading economic powerhouse and likely never recover.

  13. Intro-Nimbus on

    Of course they have, USA has literally threatened invasion, if they did NOT evaluate and make plans they would not be doing their duty.

  14. NowGoodbyeForever on

    Like the majority of Canadians, I live within a few hours of the American border; I’m closer than most, in fact. It’s genuinely horrifying that we have to just LIVE OUR FUCKING LIVES with this sword over our heads. For a whole goddamn year, now.

    The entire population of our country is slightly more than the state of California alone. We have lots of space, but few of us reside there or would know how to exist if we fled to the territories or the prairies.

    It would essentially be years and generations of insurgency and freedom fighters and guerrilla warfare. My friends and I have already made Red Dawn jokes, but…it’s a fucking nightmare.

    The worst part is not even knowing what to focus your preparation on. Amassing more money in case our economy basically collapses? Sure, but so is everyone else. (To say nothing of how many business are tied to the hip to American ones.)

    Going through the years of training and fees and licenses to procure a firearm? Couldn’t hurt, but this is at the same time our federal government is pursuing an unpopular gun buyback program, and I’m saying this as a pretty staunch leftist.

    I’m proud that we dodged the bullet of Pierre Polievre; imagining him in charge right now is enough to give me night terrors. And Carney is hopefully proving to people how hollow and foolish the last several years of Conservative identity and grievance politics have been, and how damaging they’ve been to the idea of national unity. But the damage is still done on a provincial level thanks to the corruption and incompetence of right-wing MPs.

    I’m an average Canadian. I love the diversity that brought my family to this country and that helped me meet and befriend all kinds of people in my life. I don’t have a background in the military or a skillset that in any way would help me fight an invading army.

    But I’m prepared. I’ve found myself anxiously putting together supplies for my family. Bottled water. Canned goods. A long-range personal radio. Theoretically, these are smart personal supplies to have for any emergency.

    But instead, it’s for the very real possibility of troops taking my city, of American tech companies more or less turning off our ability to access the internet and communicate. (Immediately, we’d lose Google. YouTube. Any Meta-enabled social network. It’s terrifying to realize how much basic contact depends on an American middle man.)

    I have calmly considered the violence and sacrifice I’d be willing to commit for my family and neighbours, and it’s literally all because Americans and their representatives refuse to hold their Mad King accountable.

    I may survive this. I may not. It may blow over. It may not.

    But I’ll never forgive America and Americans. I hope they understand why, and do something to stop their country’s rapid descent into world domination before more blood is spilled. But the last year has given me little hope.

  15. Mahatma_Ghandicap on

    This is normal tho, even in times of peace there are wargames and plans for this scenario.

  16. uniklyqualifd on

    Trump has to subdue the Americans first. 

    That’s the first invasion and it’s already underway in Minnesota.

  17. RottenBioHazard on

    I work right on Lake Ontario, on clear days I can see Toronto from the roof… I don’t expect to survive an invasion.

  18. This is not new. We had these hypothetical scenarios for literally decades, as theoretical thought exercises. We’ve always been aware, as a country, that USA might lose its mind. It has a strong, well-established histories of screwing with other countries‘ democracies.

  19. TakeOff_YouHoser on

    Well..yeah. I get current political events and all, but it’d just be run-of-the-mill negligence if they haven’t made plans for this for the whole time we’ve shared a border, it’s just prudent defense planning. I’m sure the U.S. has a model planning defense against a Canadian invasion too.

  20. CarpenterEntire8690 on

    To be a fly on the wall when they were coming up with these plans would be wild

  21. Hopefully it involves letting them roll over and then conducting sabotage and guerilla warfare on their soil. Realistically, we can’t stop them from coming, but we can make them wish they hadn’t.

  22. A_Bungus_Amungus on

    Dont get me wrong i understand why this is relevant now, but dont most militaries train for situations like this? Basically training for worse case scenario being invaded by a neighbor, seems like something youd want to be prepared for regardless of the current situation

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