Der Premierminister von Quebec, François Legault, tritt zurück

It’ll be interesting to see where the CAQ goes from here at this point, but I honestly don’t think that they can recover from their current polling slump. The Liberals & Conservatives are eating up their federalist support while the PQ is taking the sovereigntist/autonomist votes. Legault tried outdoing the sovereigntists with constitutional reforms, which failed to woo those voters back to the CAQ while it’s also given federalists further reason not to vote for them etc.

It’s possible that even with a change of leadership that the party’s dug itself into a position where it’s alienated too many different groups and there’s no groups left to bolster them. In all likelihood, 2030 is almost certainly a return to the traditional Liberals vs PQ dynamic.