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5 Kommentare
SS:
U.S. military action against Iran is again being discussed in Washington as protests spread across the country and reports of a deadly crackdown mount. More than 500 people are believed to have been killed, according to rights groups. While both Washington and Tehran have signaled openness to talks, President Donald Trump has said action remains possible. Experts interviewed by RFE/RL’s Radio Farda outline possible U.S. options, including limited strikes, a sustained military campaign, covert operations, cyberattacks, and intensified economic pressure.
It has to be done in a way that looks like, and hopefully actually is, helping the Iranian people than a country-to-country invasion. Perhaps airstrikes targeting the police and military units that hands on killing the protestors. But to do that the anti air systems have to be dealt with first.
If the U.S. intervene, it should surgically target the top brass of the IRGC until they start making significant concessions.
I don’t think sinking the entire ship is wise. The Civil Administration, who authorizes the water, electrical and gas systems, are tightly embedded in the vanguard apparatus too. Crudely speaking, there is a melting point where crushing the civil administrations capacity too much can serve to generate a sectarian civil war.
Whether it achieves the objective (toppling the regime), it wouldn’t help the Iranian people in any meaningful way. My point is: if a revolution totally relies on imported bombs and bullets to do their job, the next head is going to be a puppet of the men who send the bombs and bullets.
Let’s say miraculously the regime is toppled (which I think is not possible but let’s keep it anyway), and more miraculously all the IRGC/Army generals/colenels/whatever either are killed or fly out of the country or just kneel down before the protestors. Who is going to lead? Is there any concrete party organization behind the protestors? Did they ever use the last 50 or so years to build a solid organization that can immediately take over the political hierarchy? If not then they are only going to get more chaos and way more bloodshed.
Don’t even tell me that’s Pahlavi.
Kidnapping one more? 🙂