„Mass migration has been used to paper over economic issues in Britain and is “storing up longer-run problems”, the UK’s former border tsar has admitted.
Prof Alan Manning said “extremely high” recent levels of net migration would prove costly in the future as people age and draw on public services such as the NHS.
The former head of the Migration Advisory Committee said: “The fiscal effects of immigration are much better in the short-run than they are in the long-run.
Analysis by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has shown that the average low-earning migrant who moves to the UK aged 25 will cost the Government more overall than they contribute in tax from the moment they arrive.
The cost to the public purse will have risen to £150,000 per person by the time they can claim the state pension, according to the fiscal watchdog. This is because low-paid migrants, who the OBR assumes earn half the average wage, use more public services than they contribute in tax.
Mr Manning, who lectures at the London School of Economics, said: “It would be a mistake to look at the current low numbers and say actually, we need to liberalise. That would be to risk repeating the boom-bust cycle that we’ve just been through.“
We need real, meaningful reform to immigration policy. The current way of thinking about immigration is not sustainable for the long-term economic or social wellbeing of the UK.
[deleted] on
[removed]
SuchAd7998 on
It’s a pyramid scheme and will likely collapse within our lifetime. We need to stop relying on GDP as a meaningful figure and find something else to measure success on.
[deleted] on
[removed]
[deleted] on
[removed]
N3KR0VULPES on
Nothing will change until neoliberalism as a whole is rejected and replaced.
Astriania on
Today’s problems are the result of not taking this seriously for the last 20 years, and the much bigger failure to control it in the last 10 will have much bigger problems when those people get old.
Permanent immigration should be for the „best and brightest“ as politicians like to say, and nobody else, while we have such high population pressure and demand for housing.
This will require some significant changes to the expectations of old people to stop working and be funded for 20+ years by the taxpayer, but that will have to happen at some point anyway.
We also need to find a solution to the very large numbers of people claiming asylum who have absolutely no reason to travel all the way to the UK to do that, but that’s for a different thread.
concretepigeon on
The border tsar saying this now reflects a shift in public opinion meaning they feel safe enough to mention it rather than any change in the situation.
eldomtom2 on
Oddly he seems to avoid talking about the ageing population which is the real problem here.
Horror_Extension4355 on
It’s become a street level issue for the Uk population. Hard working people see with their own eyes the impact on public services and resources, then also see the rise of the mini-mart, vape shop, barbers economy and the concerns that certain aspects of certain cultures might not be compatible with liberal western values. The wealthy might be shielded from this and the left too stubborn to engage on it but the rest of the population see it all.
AllRedLine on
Anyone with half a brain could have told you this decades ago.
This is why I don’t take anyone seriously who tells me we need vast quantities of immigrants because we need them to service the healthcare system… who then is going to be coming to service the healthcare system when the immigrants are the elderly retired ones?
It’s an entirely unviable, unsustainable and exploitative self-perpetuating model that only makes sense if you expect literally unlimited and exponential growth in the amount of immigrants arriving.
Leave A Reply
Du musst angemeldet sein, um einen Kommentar abzugeben.
11 Kommentare
„Mass migration has been used to paper over economic issues in Britain and is “storing up longer-run problems”, the UK’s former border tsar has admitted.
Prof Alan Manning said “extremely high” recent levels of net migration would prove costly in the future as people age and draw on public services such as the NHS.
The former head of the Migration Advisory Committee said: “The fiscal effects of immigration are much better in the short-run than they are in the long-run.
Analysis by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has shown that the average low-earning migrant who moves to the UK aged 25 will cost the Government more overall than they contribute in tax from the moment they arrive.
The cost to the public purse will have risen to £150,000 per person by the time they can claim the state pension, according to the fiscal watchdog. This is because low-paid migrants, who the OBR assumes earn half the average wage, use more public services than they contribute in tax.
Mr Manning, who lectures at the London School of Economics, said: “It would be a mistake to look at the current low numbers and say actually, we need to liberalise. That would be to risk repeating the boom-bust cycle that we’ve just been through.“
We need real, meaningful reform to immigration policy. The current way of thinking about immigration is not sustainable for the long-term economic or social wellbeing of the UK.
[removed]
It’s a pyramid scheme and will likely collapse within our lifetime. We need to stop relying on GDP as a meaningful figure and find something else to measure success on.
[removed]
[removed]
Nothing will change until neoliberalism as a whole is rejected and replaced.
Today’s problems are the result of not taking this seriously for the last 20 years, and the much bigger failure to control it in the last 10 will have much bigger problems when those people get old.
Permanent immigration should be for the „best and brightest“ as politicians like to say, and nobody else, while we have such high population pressure and demand for housing.
This will require some significant changes to the expectations of old people to stop working and be funded for 20+ years by the taxpayer, but that will have to happen at some point anyway.
We also need to find a solution to the very large numbers of people claiming asylum who have absolutely no reason to travel all the way to the UK to do that, but that’s for a different thread.
The border tsar saying this now reflects a shift in public opinion meaning they feel safe enough to mention it rather than any change in the situation.
Oddly he seems to avoid talking about the ageing population which is the real problem here.
It’s become a street level issue for the Uk population. Hard working people see with their own eyes the impact on public services and resources, then also see the rise of the mini-mart, vape shop, barbers economy and the concerns that certain aspects of certain cultures might not be compatible with liberal western values. The wealthy might be shielded from this and the left too stubborn to engage on it but the rest of the population see it all.
Anyone with half a brain could have told you this decades ago.
This is why I don’t take anyone seriously who tells me we need vast quantities of immigrants because we need them to service the healthcare system… who then is going to be coming to service the healthcare system when the immigrants are the elderly retired ones?
It’s an entirely unviable, unsustainable and exploitative self-perpetuating model that only makes sense if you expect literally unlimited and exponential growth in the amount of immigrants arriving.